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12.7
Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets - Brimbank Submission
12.7
Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets - Brimbank
Submission
Directorate
City Futures
Director
Kelvin Walsh
Manager
Leanne Deans
Attachment(s)
1. Brimbank City Council Submission - Draft Housing
Targets - August 2024 [
12.7.1
- 17 pages]
Purpose
For Council to consider endorsing the draft submission on the Victorian Government’s
Draft Housing Targets shown at
Attachment 1
.
Officer Recommendation
That Council:
a. Notes that the Victorian Government has released draft housing targets
for consultation will local government as part of developing a new plan
for Victoria.
b. Endorses the submission on the draft housing targets, shown at
Attachment 1, and its lodgement with the Department of Transport and
Planning by 30 August 2024.
c. Notes that the Victorian Government intends to release a new Plan for
Victoria in late 2024 that includes housing targets.
Background
The Victorian Government’s Department of Transport and Planning (DTP) recently
released draft local government housing targets (draft targets) for consultation with all
councils in Victoria. When finalised, the targets will form part of a new Plan for Victoria.
As part of the release, DTP provided an interactive map on the Engage Victora website
which identified a draft target for each local government area across the state. For
Brimbank a draft target of 72,00 homes by 2051 is proposed.
DTP has also provided Council officers with two briefings on the draft targets. The first
briefing focused on the general approach and context within which draft targets will
likely sit within a future planning framework. The second briefing provided more detail
about the methodology used to develop the draft targets and outlined intended next
steps to refine them.
Based on these briefings, Council officers understand the following about the purpose
and intent of the Victorian Government’s draft targets:
•
When aggregated, all targets seek to deliver 2.24 million new homes by 2051
consistent with the Victorian Housing Statement (VHS) released in October
2023.
•
Draft targets are an expression of a geospatial assessment of potential housing
capacity that could theoretically be built within each local government area.
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•
Draft targets provide greater supply of housing, over and above demand driven
models such as
Victoria in Future
(VIF), which forecast minimum requirements
based on population and household change.
•
Within the context of the VHS, there is a deliberate intention to provide more
housing over demand models to shift the balance towards affordability through
extra supply.
•
Draft targets are to be viewed as a strategic tool to help drive growth in the
most suitable locations across Melbourne and Victoria.
DTP have also updated the Plan for Victoria page on the Engage Victoria website by
outlining eight “big ideas” identified from feedback received from initial consultation to
inform a Plan for Victoria. Council endorsed a submission in response to this early
engagement at the Council Meeting on 18 June 2024. The big ideas are:
1. More homes in locations with great public transport access.
2. More housing options for all Victorians, including social and affordable homes.
3. More jobs and opportunities closer to where you live.
4. More options for how we move from place to place.
5. More certainty and guidance on how places will change over time.
6. More trees and urban greening in our parks and community space.
7. More protections from flooding, bushfire and climate hazards.
8. Greater protection of our agricultural land.
Except for DTP advising that consultation on a new plan for Victoria has been extended
until 30 August 2024, there has been no further information shared apart from the
above. This extension allows Council to provide feedback on the draft targets and these
‘Big Ideas’.
The DTP website indicates that a new plan for Victoria is to be released in late 2024
following this second round of consultation.
Matters for Consideration
Options
A draft submission has been prepared in response to the release of draft housing targets
which is shown at
Attachment 1
.
The following options are available to Council:
A. Endorse the draft submission shown at
Attachment 1
.
B. Endorse the draft submission shown at
Attachment 1
, with changes.
C. Determine not to endorse the draft submission, shown at
Attachment 1
, with
no further action.
Analysis
While DTP has provided some explanation regarding the intention and context of draft
targets through briefings to Council officers, there isn’t yet a policy and/or strategy
framework to better understand more detailed elements surrounding housing targets
and their intended use moving forward. This would usually in be in the form of a
discussion paper type document or be embedded in a draft Plan for Victoria.
It is unclear beyond the opportunity to provide this submission whether further
information will be released that provides greater context and/or opportunity to provide
further input on the draft targets.
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Within this context, the draft submission has sought to focus on what the main
implications are from a Brimbank perspective. The draft submission seeks to provide a
constructive overview of key matters that DTP could turn its attention to as part of a
wider policy, strategy and/or regulatory reform agenda, or help inform a potential next
phase of developing housing targets within the context of a new plan for Victoria.
On the above basis, the draft submission notes Council’s qualified support for the
concept of setting housing targets to help guide planning focus and effort moving
forward. The draft submission also seeks to provide a focus of attention and further
consideration on the following broad matters:
•
Emphasises Council continued endeavours and efforts to facilitate high quality
urban development through the tools available within the Brimbank Planning
Scheme, and any other levers at its disposal, to encourage greater supply of
housing across the municipality. This is in the context of a challenging economic
environment.
•
Encourages the need for an integrated spatial land use and transport approach
and the need for delivery of major rail infrastructure and bus reforms, as a
matter of urgency. This is essential to provide confidence, stimulate
development demand and improve developer certainty, as well as deliver
important transport investment required to service an increasing population.
•
Highlights that beyond the planning system, Brimbank has limited levers
available to unlock housing supply and therefore there is a need for both the
Commonwealth and State governments to explore their respective financial and
fiscal levers to influence supply, particularly in the short term.
•
Emphasises the need to establish a clear, housing focused, policy, strategy and
regulatory reform framework, that is developed in close consultation with local
governments, relevant authorities and key stakeholders, to place housing
delivery and associated targets into a long-term plan.
•
Encourages the need for an ongoing program of effort to be established that
monitors, reviews, and reports on the progress of delivering more housing
against an established housing framework. This would preferably be progressed
via a transparent process managed by an independent body.
•
Seeks ways to make housing density through apartments more attractive - both
in appearance and as a product to create market demand by gaining community
support and acceptance. This is proposed to be delivered through a mix of
reformed planning controls by providing innovative solutions that address
several complex challenges which currently impede the delivery of housing
density.
•
Seeks prioritisation of available State based financial and fiscal levers of reforms
to deliver a fairer and more equitable approach to funding the necessary
transport, community and social infrastructure needed to meet the demands
brought about by the proposed housing targets and associated population.
•
Supports the need for ongoing collaboration across all levels of government, the
development industry and with local communities to identify issues and progress
solutions.
In relation to the eight “big ideas” released, officers note that they are very broad
concepts that any new plan for Victoria would be expected to consider and without
further detail are difficult to comment on in isolation of a draft policy or strategy
framework.
Notwithstanding, Council’s submission to the plan for Victoria provides appropriate and
considered responses to these “big ideas”, and therefore no further comment is being
made as part of this submission.
Next steps
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Subject to Council’s endorsement, the draft submission would be lodged with DTP before
30 August 2024.
Council officers will continue to advocate for appropriate consideration, reflection and
application of Council policies, strategies and plans, in addition to the matters raised in
the submission as part of any further engagement by DTP on the proposed housing
targets and/or a new plan for Victoria. DTP have indicated a willingness to receive more
detailed information from Council officers about local issues, which will be provided
where appropriate.
Community Engagement
The State Government have released information and are undertaking consultation via
the Engage Victoria website. Submissions from councils on the draft housing targets are
due from 3 July 2024 to 30 August 2024.
Resource And Risk Implications
Resource requirements can be met within the Annual Budget 2022/2023.
Community:
potential impact on community, including public trust and customer
service impact:
• Yes – Housing targets will require more housing in established areas across Brimbank
and may be politically sensitive and have an impact on Council resources. Population
growth associated with housing targets will correlate with an increased demand for a
range of services and amenities offered by Council that will need to be assessed, planned
and funded.
Environmental:
impacts on environmental sustainability, including water/waste
management, climate change, and contaminated land:
• Yes – Increased dwellings within Brimbank will have an impact on the overall
performance of the built environment in response to climate change and overall
environmental sustainability. This will also have a correlation in terms of transport needs
and will require a stronger focus on active and sustainable transport to help address the
impacts on road congestion and pollution.
Financial:
significant financial impacts:
• Yes - Increased housing supply with Brimbank, while providing increased rate revenue
will also require substantial funding to deliver new and/or extended services and
infrastructure in the future.
Regulatory:
legal, legislative or regulatory implications including the rights/obligations
of stakeholders:
• Yes – Potential regulatory reforms introduced by the progressing of new housing
targets may impacts Council’s existing legislative and regulatory responsibilities.
Legislation/Council Plan/Policy Context
This report supports the Council Plan 2021-2025 strategic direction and objective of:
2. Places and Spaces - Liveable and connected neighbourhoods that support
healthy and sustainable futures - A green place for all
• Liveable and Connected - Inviting and liveable spaces and facilities, connected so
people can get around
3. Opportunity and Prosperity - A future focused, transforming city where all
have opportunities to learn and earn - A prosperous place for all
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• Growing and Transforming - Optimise community opportunities through infrastructure
innovation and investment
4. Leadership and Governance - A high performing organisation that enacts the
vision and decisions of Council through the delivery of quality and innovative
services - A fairer place for all
• Engaged and Responsive - Community insights are valued to enhance connection and
engagement with Council.
The draft submission draws on priorities identified in adopted Council strategies and
policies, including the Brimbank Housing and Neighbourhood Character Strategy 2024,
Brimbank Advocacy Plan 2023-25, Brimbank Transport Priorities Paper 2022, Sunshine
Priority Precinct Vision 2050, Brimbank Activity Centre Strategy 2018, Sunshine Station
Super Hub Urban Design Principles 2019, Brimbank Position Statement of Social and
Affordable Housing 2022 and the Brimbank Economic Development Strategy 2022–2027.
The draft submission also draws on the Brimbank Planning Scheme and State
Government’s Sunshine Precinct Opportunity Statement.
Council officers contributing to the preparation and approval of this report, have no
conflicts of interests to declare.
Brimbank City Council Submission
Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
August 2024
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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17
Council respectfully acknowledges and recognises the Kulin Nation
including the Wurundjeri, Bunurong and Boon Wurrung Peoples as the
Traditional Owners of the land in the City of Brimbank, and pays respect to
Elders past, present and future. For the Traditional Owners, the lands in the
City of Brimbank have always been a significant trading and meeting place.
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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Foreword
Brimbank City Council (Council) welcomes the proposed draft Housing Targets released by the Victorian
Government and the opportunity to work with the Victorian Government to further develop housing policy and
strategy, and refine the draft Housing Targets, to inform the development of the new Plan for Victoria.
The Department of Transport and Planning (DTP) website identifies that the draft Housing Targets quota for the
Brimbank Local Government Area (LGA) is in the order of 72,000 new homes by 2051. Currently, there are
approximately 73,200 dwellings in the Brimbank LGA, which equates to the construction of around 2,700
dwellings per year for the next 27 years.
Council understands and appreciates that the proposed draft Housing Targets are based on a geospatial based
analysis identifying potential capacity, with the aim of providing a sufficient supply of suitably zoned land, over
and above projected population and household change requirements - the latter being the traditional method of
determining housing supply through strategic planning.
Council’s recently adopted
Brimbank Housing and Neighbourhood Character Strategy 2024,
uses the traditional
method of determining supply, and has identified the need to accommodate an additional 14,000 dwellings by
2041 through a suite of residential zone changes. This represents a little over 800 dwellings per year which is
slightly above the short-term average dwelling construction rate for Brimbank over the last five years, but in line
with a longer-term average when measured since 2001. Council notes that this strategy does not include the
activity centre areas of Sunshine, St Albans or Sydenham, or potential dwelling yield from other potential infill
development areas.
Notwithstanding, while potential additional dwelling capacity from these areas and/or existing areas could
further increase housing supply across Brimbank, there are several strategic limitations. This includes land use
buffers, airport environs impacts (particularly in relation to the proposed Melbourne Airport Third Runway),
single dwelling covenants, potentially contaminated land, and flood exposure, which will likely impact overall
supply potential.
The theoretical doubling of the number of dwellings within Brimbank necessitates the need for significant
infrastructure and service delivery, particularly the provision of greater transport and community services.
Within the context of being able to deliver the proposed draft Housing Targets, Brimbank needs the timely
delivery of committed rail infrastructure projects and corresponding station upgrades to support significant
activity centre growth and development along established rail lines. Greater housing development beyond
established rail infrastructure will require more frequent, accessible, and integrated bus services, in addition to a
range of social and community related infrastructure, which is required to service a substantially increased
population.
Nevertheless, Council supports the establishment of housing targets as a means of supporting strategic planning
to facilitate increased housing. However, Council is mindful that is has limited levers at its disposal to be able to
influence the housing market and is mindful of the need for targets to be strategically focused on their intention,
rather than used as a punitive measure as suggest by the Premier
1
.
Within the above context, Council’s submission focuses on a range of matters that will help inform a strong and
effective housing policy and regulatory environment, including:
1. Unlocking housing development today through further exploration of Commonwealth and State
Governments levers.
2. Working collaboratively to further develop a clear and consistently applied methodology to ensure a
unified approach across state and local government boundaries.
3. Establishing targets within the context of a strategic metropolitan housing framework that supports
localised delivery and is independently monitored and reviewed.
1Miller, Rooney, Gordon (April 2024)
The Age “Planning powers could be stripped from councils that miss housing targets”.
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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4. The need to make density attractive delivered through a mix of reformed and new planning tools, with
a focus on innovative solutions to challenges which impact delivery.
5. Integrating and aligning planning and infrastructure delivery to ensure the application of a fair and
equitable approach through reforms to infrastructure contributions and value capture arrangements.
6. The need for ongoing collaboration across all levels of government, the development industry and with
communities to identify issues and progress solutions.
Council looks forward to contributing to this important policy discussion and stands ready to assist the process
where it can.
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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Table of Contents
Foreword ...........................................................................................................................3
Table of Contents...............................................................................................................5
Draft housing targets in context.........................................................................................6
Draft targets put into the Brimbank context......................................................................................................6
Brimbank requires significant investment in infrastructure to service gorwth..................................................7
There is a need to deliver new housing now.......................................................................8
Local government has limited levers to unlock supply.......................................................................................8
Build market confidence by delivering promised infrastructure........................................................................8
Targets should be set within a clear and implementable framework. .................................9
Develop a clear and consistent methodology. ...................................................................................................9
Place housing targets within a clear housing framework.................................................................................10
A housing framework must include diversity and choice.................................................................................10
Establish best practice independent monitoring, reporting and review..........................................................10
Density is complex and needs to be attractive to achieve acceptance. .............................11
Reform existing controls to support delivery of supply. ..................................................................................11
Innovate to address complex challenges to achieving density. .......................................................................11
Further embed good design into the objectives of planning for density .........................................................12
Integrated and aligned planning and infrastructure delivery. ...........................................13
An integrated and coordinated approach to transformation...........................................................................13
Ensuring communities benefit from density ....................................................................................................13
Fairness through return on value capture........................................................................................................14
Infrastructure contributions reform must be a high priority. ..........................................................................14
Ongoing collaboration to identify broad based solutions..................................................15
All tiers of government and industry need to work together. .........................................................................15
Bring Communities along for journey...............................................................................................................15
Appendices ......................................................................................................................16
Detailed feedback – Housing Targets Modelling Webinar...............................................................................16
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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Draft housing targets in context
Key points:
Proposed draft targets will require 2,700 dwellings per year to be delivered, which is significantly
more than the long-term average of approximately 800 per year since 2001.
Delivery of committed rail infrastructure projects and corresponding station upgrades is required to
support housing growth in existing activity centres and along established rail lines.
Increased housing supply beyond established rail infrastructure will require even more frequent and
accessible bus services, which are already insufficient in terms of current requirements.
Draft targets put into the Brimbank context
Brimbank has a vibrant and culturally diverse community with a population of 196,000 in 2021, which is forecast
to grow to 212,500 by 3036
2
.
When compared to all inner and middle local government areas across Melbourne, Brimbank is ranked equal
third highest (72,000 new dwellings) alongside the local government areas of Monash, Darebin and Merri-bek, in
needing to accommodate new dwellings by 2051. Only the local government areas of Whitehorse (79,000) and
Melbourne (134,000) have higher housing targets.
Brimbank currently has around 73,500 dwellings, which means the proposed draft Housing Target for Brimbank
equates to a theoretical doubling of the number of dwellings to around 143,000 by 2051. This suggests that an
average annual construction rate of 2,700 new dwellings would be needed over the next 27 years for Brimbank
to deliver this target.
Council’s recently adopted
Brimbank Housing and Neighbourhood Character Strategy 2024
seeks to
accommodate an additional 14,000 dwellings by 2041
3
. This represents a little over 800 dwellings per year which
is slightly above the short-term average for Brimbank of the last five years - but is in line with a longer term
average when measured since 2001 (see figure 1 below).
Figure 1: Residential Building Approvals, Brimbank City Council.
Source: Id Consulting
2
Victorian Government (2023)
Victoria in Future, municipal forecasts 2021-2036.
3
Excludes the activity centre areas of Sunshine, Watergardens, and St Albans.
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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Brimbank requires significant investment in infrastructure to service gorwth
Council appreciates that a significant proportion of the draft Housing Target is supported by the future
development of the Sunshine Priority Precinct (Sunshine), where work is being undertaken to establish Sunshine
as the CBD of the west. The DTP’s own vision
4
indicates the potential for approximately 26,000 new dwellings
over the next 30 years.
When Sunshine’s potential is combined with the
Brimbank Housing and Neighbourhood Character Strategy
, it
means that an additional 32,000 new dwellings will potentially need to be found within other areas earmarked
for residential growth. This includes the activity centres like St Albans and Sydenham, and other potential
residential strategic infill redevelopment areas (such as areas zoned for mixed use or where there is an approved
development plan). In addition, Brimbank has a wide range of neighbourhood and local activity centres beyond
those mentioned, where housing growth could be further intensified within the context of a 20-minute
neighbourhood policy environment. Importantly, the growth and development of these centres is also impacted
by poor public transport accessibility, changing economic conditions and increased development costs due to
localised conditions, to name a few.
In August 2021, the Victorian Auditor General
5
noted the absence of a metropolitan wide transport plan (also
required by the
Transport Integration Act 2010)
over the last decade. This has meant that unprecedented
investment in transport infrastructure has missed opportunities to better sequence and optimise the benefits of
these investments to better meet Victoria’s transport needs – particularly in Melbourne’s west.
Significant and timely investment will be needed in a broad range of transited oriented infrastructure, social and
community services, as well as utility infrastructure, if Melbourne is to cater for the population proposed in the
draft Housing Targets.
Council has long advocated
6
about the need for greater and more coordinated investment in transport
infrastructure to deliver meaningful and intergenerational change for the Brimbank community and Melbourne’s
west. Sustained advocacy about once in a generation catalyst project flagged for Brimbank and the western
region, could restore transport equity in Melbourne’s west and create an environment equivalent to the level of
transport infrastructure available within northern and eastern middle ring municipalities. Key projects include:
Electrification of the Melton/Wyndham rail line and modernisation of stations along those lines
Delivery of Melbourne Airport Rail including the Keilor East Railway Station
Delivery of the original design of the Sunshine Super Hub to support the above rail investments full
potential and
Redevelopment of Albion Station to capitalise on the growth potential of the northern areas of the
Sunshine precinct.
If greater densities are to be achieved beyond existing rail infrastructure and within the existing activity centre
network, then considerable investment in more frequent bus services in needed. This should provide logical
interconnections to help achieve greater growth in established suburbs and support efficient flows and
accessibility of people travelling within, or through Brimbank.
4
Department of Transport (2021)
Sunshine Priority Precinct Statement
5
Victorian Auditor General (2021)
Integrated Transport Planning
6
Brimbank City Council (2021) Transforming Brimbank
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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There is a need to deliver new housing now
Key points:
Local government has few levers outside the planning scheme to meaningfully unlock supply,
particularly in the short term.
Commonwealth and State Government need to use their financial and regulatory levers to help
unlock supply delivery.
Building property market confidence through delivery of promised infrastructure will help support
Brimbank in attracting investment and unlocking new housing supply.
Local government has limited levers to unlock supply
Unfortunately, the implementation of housing targets will not contribute to the building of new homes needed
today or in the short term.
Council has, and will continue, to facilitate development through its planning scheme which is the primary lever
at its disposal to encourage new development. It is important to note that while permits are issued regularly, not
all permits proceed to construction. For example, over the past five years within the Sunshine Metropolitan
Activity Centre (MeAC), active permits had the potential to deliver 972 new apartments, however over this same
period, approximately 564 apartments did not progress due to lapsing planning permits - which demonstrates
the important role the market plays in the delivery of housing.
There are several issues that impact the markets’ ability to deliver housing, including the cost of construction,
high interest rates, rising wages and labour shortages, and financial incentives etc, and have a more immediate
influence on housing supply. For example, Infrastructure Victoria’s
Our home choices
advocated for disincentives
to buying in established areas to be removed. These included inefficient stamp duties, taxes and subsidies which
favour development in growth areas over infill locations.
While Council welcomes both the National Housing Accord and the Victorian Housing Statements as first steps,
further exploration of these financial and other levers that impact the market are required to encourage a more
immediate response to supply.
Build market confidence by delivering promised infrastructure
The property market dynamics of Melbourne’s west means that the delivery of the Melbourne Airport Rail and
other city shaping rail infrastructure projects flagged for Brimbank and the region is critical to building market
confidence.
There is a significant opportunity for State and Local Governments to leverage public and private investment to
create uplift through a range of opportunities. A commitment to a continued strong partnership and
collaborative approach between Local and State Governments, that is underpinned by an agreed vision, will be
key to realising our mutual aspirations.
Unfortunately, the lack of certainty in the delivery of flagged infrastructure projects is undermining Sunshine’s
role as a MeAC, and its broader role as part of the National Employment and Innovation Cluster. Significant
capacity exists within the Sunshine Precinct to accommodate future homes. Continued uncertainty creates a lack
of confidence for investors looking at Sunshine and Brimbank as a place to invest, conduct business and work.
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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Targets should be set within a clear and implementable framework
Key points
The proposed methodology that has informed the draft Housing Targets has merit, but a clear and
consistent methodology to refine targets needs to be established, in consultation with Local
Government.
Targets need to be set within a metropolitan housing policy and strategy framework, and based on
principles, objectives, and spatial delivery aspirations.
A housing framework should focus on delivering housing choice, diversity, and local needs within the
context of delivering an overarching target.
A housing framework should include a consistent approach to long term independent monitoring and
review to measure policy implementation accurately.
Develop a clear and consistent methodology
The DTP
7
Local Government focused webinar on 12 July 2024, reaffirmed that the combined draft Housing
Targets aim is to deliver 2.24 million new homes by 2051, and that the draft targets are based on an initial
geospatial assessment to understand what a feasible housing capacity could theoretically be within each local
government area.
This means the draft Housing Targets present greater supply of housing, over and above demand driven models
such as
Victoria in Future
(VIF) and aim to change the balance of affordability through extra supply.
Council considers that the methodology outlined by DTP is a well-considered first step. Ideally the next stage
would involve a more detailed discussion with each local government to allow the provision of more localised
feedback to inform the methodology and ensure an accurate base case is developed for each LGA. This includes
giving appropriate consideration and regard for localised limitations on development. Within Brimbank, there
were several development constraints identified in the adopted Brimbank Housing and Neighbourhood
Character Strategy, including:
Areas where land use buffers may impact dwelling densities, such as in areas surrounding Major Hazard
Facilities, closed land fill sites and proximity to high pressure gas or other pipelines.
Locations where there are known single dwelling covenants, that deliberately limit the dwelling density
potential within a given area.
Council has considered the DTP webinar material and included a range of feedback at Appendix 1. Prior to
finalising the methodology and final targets, which will inform the Plan for Victoria, Council submits that the
following occur:
1. Provide opportunities for considered and detailed feedback from each local government to ensure local
conditions are considered, and to improve the accuracy of inputs and elements being used, and the
overall integrity of the model.
2. Engage a range of experts to peer review the model’s methodology to further enhance its validity and
long-term application.
3. Consider placing the methodology/model through a considered public process to allow any interested
party, to present their views via an Advisory Committee process in accordance with section 151 of the
Planning and Environment Act 1987
.
7
Department of Transport and Housing (July 2024)
Housing Targets, Modelling Webinar – 12 July 2024
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Attachment 12.7.1
Submission by Brimbank City Council – Victorian Government Draft Housing Targets
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Place housing targets within a clear housing framework
Council supports the need for a ‘long term housing plan’
8
to collectively achieve well designed and well-located
housing. The development of a housing framework must be established within a framework based on clear and
consistent principles and objectives, that drive the application of specific policy and strategy at both the
metropolitan and local government level. Ideally a framework would be focused not just on housing but be
coupled with a clear spatial strategy that is supported by a new Plan for Victoria that describes how targets are
to be met.
A regional local government approach should be considered for the establishment of targets and their
implementation. A regional approach could create a greater focus on similar property market characteristics and
behaviours and promote development of fit for purpose approaches based on local area dynamics.
A housing framework must include diversity and choice
Currently, 80% of Brimbank’s housing supply is provided in detached dwellings built between the 1950’s and
1980’s on allotments between 500 – 800m
2
. A housing framework should act to encourage and deliver housing
diversity and choice. A key challenge facing Brimbank, and most municipalities, is the ability to support the
delivery of diversity that caters for various household types and an older population.
Research undertaken by Infrastructure Victoria (IV)
9
found that homes in high rise apartments alone where not
attractive to many people, concluding that increased density must come in a variety of forms, including
townhouses, villas and low-, mid- and high-rise apartments. They must also be priced accordingly to suit a
variety of household types, particularly those households with children. Any framework must therefore not
solely rely on pure numbers and/or demand, but instead, take a more nuanced approach to providing diverse
housing that meets the needs of a broad spectrum of the Victorian population at an appropriate price point.
Establish best practice independent monitoring, reporting and review
Any framework must be monitored and reviewed periodically. There has been no information shared to date
that outlines if and how monitoring and review will occur. Council believes reviews should be aligned with ABS
census data release periods to ensure that adjustments are measurable and based on trends. Reviews should
include assessment of property market movements, fluctuations and economic temperature checking to ensure
that any revised or new targets remain realistic and pragmatic.
Given housing is a basic human right, it also considered that the task of setting and adjusting policy and targets
should ideally be removed directly from the influence of politics and big business as much as possible. An
independent authority, such as the Auditor General, or Infrastructure Victoria could be tasked with setting
housing policy and strategy and establishing and reviewing targets. This independent authority would ideally
report to parliament directly and be adequately resourced to undertake the overall task.
8
Victorian Government (October 2023) Victoria’s Housing Statement p39
9
Infrastructure Victoria (2023)
Our Home Choices
pg5
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Density is complex and needs to be attractive to achieve acceptance
Key points
Current planning controls will struggle to achieve the ambitious policy and strategy outcomes
suggested by the draft Housing Targets.
Innovative approaches are needed to address a range of planning related barriers to strategic
densification.
Embedding good design into the objectives of planning for density is essential.
Reform existing controls to support delivery of supply
There is a need to provide greater clarity and certainty through modernised planning control provisions to
achieve greater housing choice and density in the Victoria Planning Provisions (VPPs), and in turn deliver housing
targets.
Existing controls, by design, often limit the ability for areas to realise their full potential. Reformed controls,
prepared in consultation with councils, should be implemented to establish greater certainty for councils,
communities, and the development industry about required planning and design outcomes. Increased certainty
will reduce speculation by stabilising the market and is expected to reduce inflation in the value of development
sites and result in more permits being acted on. Reforms could consider:
Introduction of density-based controls within the existing suite of zones with any ‘up-lift’ mechanism
built into the construct of the zone and pre-agreed to secure community benefit.
Establishing disincentives for speculative planning permits to avoid delay in supply of new housing.
Part of delivering the right supply at the right density, involves providing clear design guidance and direction on
low to mid-rise apartments, which are above 4 storeys but less than 10. At present, there is a significant gap in
planning guidance between detached homes (Clause 55, Rescode) and higher density apartments (Clause 58,
Better Apartment Design Guidelines). The development of a new low to mid rise apartment code, prepared in
consultation with councils, would provide the balance needed in urban form and help drive appropriate
outcomes linked with the delivery of housing targets.
Innovate to address complex challenges to achieving density
At present there are insufficient tools in the Planning System to deliver large-scale, coordinated transformation
of places. Innovation is needed to address several broad planning challenges beyond the current suite of
planning controls. While there are several potential matters, the following are particularly acute within Brimbank
in achieving greater housing density in the desired places:
Lot consolidation
is a significant obstacle. Research undertaken by Swinburne University as part of the
‘Greening the Greyfields’ noted that between 2005 and 2021, approximately 28% of all infill
development only yielded between 2-4 dwellings
10
. It was observed that this was partly due to a
reinforcing of the purpose and nature of existing zone controls but also partly driven by an inability to
consolidate land into larger parcels to be able to achieve increased density outcomes. The report went
onto suggest that new strategic and statutory planning tools need to be explored and developed that
are focused on a neighbourhood ‘precinct’ level as a start, with the potential for State Government to
play a role in the arbitrage of land and facilitation of housing development activity.
Restricted covenants
can limit the ability to achieve meaningful densities. There are many areas across
Melbourne, and within Brimbank are prevalent in Deer Park and areas of Taylors Lakes and limit
10
Glackin, Newman, Newton, Thomson (2023)
Greening the Greyfields,
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development to single dwellings per allotment. When developed 40 years ago, these covenants were
considered an appropriate way to help shape a desired development pattern. However, their legal
construct means that they will continue to influence low urban density in perpetuity unless addressed
strategically. Given the broad and legal nature of the challenge, Council encourages State Government
to explore how such covenants could be considered and removed within the context of a broader
strategic housing setting.
Underdevelopment
in many parts of Brimbank is a real issue. Since the release of Melbourne 2030 in
2003, several successful VCAT appeals have been won based on a proposal not meeting the objectives
or zoning and strategy requirements. Proceeding to VCAT each time is expensive and time consuming.
Unfortunately, to date no corresponding state level policy or planning provision has been implemented
which is expressly directed at discouraging unreasonable under-development of well-located sites.
Council encourages the State Government to examine the potential application of “minimum
development provisions” which would help send a clear development expectation signal in areas where
state and local policy explicitly call for development to deliver greater employment and housing
outcomes.
Further embed good design into the objectives of planning for density
Victoria must establish greater leadership as a design state, increasing its competitiveness to attract and retain
residents, jobs, and investment. Making density attractive to both existing and future residents is essential if
ambitious targets are to be achieved.
Unfortunately, the planning system tends to lack sufficient design policy and can result in poor design quality
and performance of the built environment. Embedding what good design means within a policy, strategy and
statutory context is essential and should also be a key element of a potential housing framework.
This could include introducing a new objective into the
Planning and Environment Act 1987
, supported by
umbrella design policy that establishes expectations and supporting processes to enable good design. This would
involve updating the Victoria Planning Provisions and embedding both policy, process, and outcomes into
relevant elements of planning schemes.
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Integrated and aligned planning and infrastructure delivery
Key points
The need for integrated land use and transport planning has never been greater.
A fair and equitable approach should be applied through value capture arrangements.
Delivery of an effective contributions system is needed to reduce burden on local governments.
Reforming infrastructure contributions is needed to send the right price signals.
An integrated and coordinated approach to transformation
A significant component of any housing framework is to focus development in existing urban areas which would
generally include brownfield renewal areas, activity centres and developments of large-scale strategic sites. The
current approach to coordinating individual development interests at a precinct scale can often lead to mixed
results with uncoordinated outcomes leaving councils to pay for the amenity aspects post completion.
Planning for successful urban renewal must include the feasibility of public facilities and amenities, including the
location and design of high quality and tree lined streets, and provision of open spaces and community facilities,
before determining development yield and scale.
Potential tools required to achieve greater integration and coordination include:
Processes to achieve state and local partnerships in precinct master planning to provide greater
certainty in the planning, design, and funding of public amenity.
Establishment of incentives to encourage lot consolidation that maximises the co-ordination and
delivery of new public realm transformational projects.
Establishment of clear thresholds and guidelines for proponent led master planning prior to the design
of and permitting of individual buildings.
Without a clear and integrated approach, there is the potential to lose significant opportunities to capture public
value and leave a longer-term financial burden on councils to retrofit the required infrastructure to support
liveability, as has occurred in the Montague Precinct in Fisherman’s Bend, and Josephs Road in Footscray.
Ensuring communities benefit from density
Ensuring communities benefit from increased density must be a core principle of any future housing framework.
Too often, housing projects are focused on plot-by-plot development, resulting in increased density, with little
improvement to the public realm, or sufficient contributions to local community infrastructure. This in turn
creates resistance from local communities who then view the contribution of increased housing negatively when
existing infrastructure is straining to cope with increased population growth.
There is a need to match housing growth with investment in the neighbourhoods where it is located. The ideal
outcome would be to get to a point where the community wants housing growth in their neighbourhoods
because of the benefits it delivers. Elements of reform could include, but is not limited to:
Ensuring funding for open space, street upgrades and community infrastructure is directly tied to the
anticipated future density.
Prioritising the careful planning and costing of public realm needs and upgrades, and that this occurs
prior to the upzoning of urban land.
Ensuring greater emphasis on participatory strategic planning processes to ensure community members
participate and benefit from increased density.
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Fairness through return on value capture
Council supports the implementation of the Wind Fall Gains Tax (WGT) on rezonings that brings a significant
capital improvement to land. At present, the gains extracted from WGT are returned to the State Government’s
consolidated revenue. Currently there isn’t any transparency about how money collected is spent to create a
better urban environment from where it has been collected from.
Council encourages the State Government to consider an equitable approach to the distribution of the proceeds
involving a portion being returned to the local areas they were collected from to support the delivery of
increased services. Ideally, any altered arrangements should hypothecate the intended outcomes to achieve
stability within the process, and delivery transparency in operation.
Infrastructure contributions reform must be a high priority
Victoria has no dedicated revenue source to fund infrastructure that supports building new homes outside of
new growth areas. The current system of section 173 agreements, Infrastructure Contributions Plans (ICP),
Developer Contributions Plans (DCP) is disconnected, patchy, complicated, and administratively burdensome. In
particular, the DCP system carries significant barriers and risks for councils. Issues include but are not limited to
the:
Cost of developing a DCP
Time it takes to develop and have a DCP approved
Complexity of DCPs and the expertise required to manage them effectively
Financial risks of entering a DCP - a DCP locks in councils to deliver projects, even if development does
not proceed and council cannot collect the levies.
For many councils, agreements struck under section 173 of the
Planning and Environment Act 1987
are the only
realistic and cost-effective option to collect contributions for infrastructure.
The development of a new system must be underpinned by principles of fairness, certainty, transparency,
efficiency, simplicity, and affordability. Ideally a two-tiered approach that focuses on local infrastructure and
state infrastructure is needed. A local system would fund basic and essential infrastructure needed to support or
respond to development, while a state system could look to fund major state or regional infrastructure to unlock
potential.
Several reviews, the most recent being
Infrastructure Contributions Advisory Committee
(established in 2021)
have promised much sought after reforms to the ICP and DCP system, with none resulting in meaningful change.
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Ongoing collaboration to identify broad based solutions
Key points
Any process must involve all tiers of government as part of the solution.
Consultation with the development industry is needed for pragmatic solutions.
The needs of communities that state and local government service must be front and centre.
All tiers of government and industry need to work together
Greater collaboration is urgently needed to formulate ideas that lead to solutions. While local government plays
a key role as experts in understanding their local spatial issues and community needs, both State and
Commonwealth Governments have levers that can affect the greatest and most immediate change to deliver
housing in the short term.
Industry is well placed to explain the bottlenecks and market conditions the impact them in the delivery of
housing supply, and there is a real need to understand the various limitations across the legislative and
regulatory frameworks that create obstacles in creating new supply or inhibit new housing models such as build
to rent.
Bring communities along for journey
Communities need to be part of the journey and solution, and critically, to understand the trade-offs needed as
a society if housing is to be provided for existing and future generations in a meaningful way. Easy to understand
messaging is needed to deliver a greater understanding that the problem cannot be shifted elsewhere, and that
expansion of the urban growth boundary is not an appropriate solution.
The City of Vancouver
11
has had a housing strategy in place for over 20 years. A key ingredient of the strategy
has included targeted consultation with residents to promote greater acceptance of increased densities and
allow feedback where that density is located. This has been essential in gaining community confidence and
support for density overtime.
11www.vancouver.ca/people-programs/housing-vancouver-strategy.aspx
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Appendices
Detailed feedback – Housing Targets Modelling Webinar
12
Council understands, and appreciates the following about the proposed draft Housing Targets:
When aggregated, all targets seek to deliver 2.24 million new homes by 2051 consistent with the
Victorian Housing Statement (VHS) released in October 2023.
Targets are an expression of an assessed geospatially based assessment to understand what a feasible
housing capacity could theoretically be within each local government area.
Targets present greater supply of housing, over and above demand driven models such as
Victoria in
Future
(VIF) which forecast minimum requirements based on population and household change.
Within the context of the VHS, there is an intention to deliberately provide more housing, over and
above VIF projected levels, with the aim of changing the balance of affordability through extra supply.
Targets are to be viewed as a strategic tool to help drive growth in the most suitable locations across
Melbourne and Victoria.
Council submits the following feedback about the modelling presented:
Discounting non-developable land
Lots between 0-300 sqm are likely to have some density potential, particularly where the underlying
zone is Residential Growth, Mixed Use, or other special purpose development zone.
Industrial land that is not in a State or regionally significant precinct should be considered in
consultation with the relevant local government, particularly around significant activity centres such as
Sunshine. Existing Council policy may provide direction in relation to the future of some of this land.
Considering constrained land
Reference to ‘High and medium risk flood areas – Melbourne Water’ requires further explanation,
particularly as to how they differ from established flood controls within planning schemes.
The application of ‘capacity discount’ rates require further clarification, in particularly what the discount
is being measured or based on.
Capacity discount of 20% for areas within the MAEO and AEO need to be reconsidered. The purpose of
both is to limited density to either a single dwelling (MAEO1), or density not exceeding one per 300 sqm
(MAEO2), which suggests both are “not developable” under the proposed methodology, unless there
are planning reforms proposed.
Discounts relative to other overlays e.g. the EAO, ESO, NCO, SBO, SLO and VPO, need further
interrogation and reconsideration. It might be that such overlays may not directly affect dwelling
density and could be viewed more as important considerations that need to be considered when
contemplating increased density within an area, rather than a density control per se.
Calculating Capacity
Greater clarity is required about ‘Maximum possible density’ regarding overall lot size and theoretical
dwelling capacity. For example, how is the potential capacity under an apartment scenario determined
as distinct from traditional detached dwelling forms within relevant residential zones?
Greater methodological clarity is need in how Floor Area Ratios (FAR) are applied. This is within the
context of the existing regulatory aspects that govern what can be built under each residential zone
under clauses 53 to 58 of the Victoria Planning Provisions. FARs normally assume no other, or limited
built form controls are present on a site.
12
Department of Transport and Housing (July 2024)
Housing Targets, Modelling Webinar – 12 July 2024
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Attributing Growth
Further explanation about the influence of “CityPlan” and “PLUM” as elements of the methodology
would help clarify how the overall methodology works in practice.
While the proposed elements appear logical, there are a few inputs that require explanation as to how
they influence housing target development, including:
- What are the policy interventions being used as inputs into the model, and how do future policy
interventions impact the model?
- What elements of the transport network are being considered? Does the model consider existing
capacity, or does it also include planned capacity (i.e. Western Rail Plan upgrades?) Is the bus
network considered, and if so, how? Will the model consider serviceability?
- What modal split is the model assuming across all forms – and is there an assumption that greater
take up of public transport informs location-based density deliberations.
Assessing feasibility
What are the inputs into the consideration of land value and how developer decisions are made? These
assumptions would be important to check via peer review.
Feasibility should also consider the potential additional costs to fund infrastructure or pay State taxes
and/or duties.
Additional considerations
While it is understood that population change is not a core factor in the overall capacity consideration,
it is an important element in understanding demand and the type of housing needs from one area to
another.
Household size and formation is an important part of determining housing choice and on this basis,
housing diversity should be a core consideration in the development of housing targets.
Further consideration is required of the proposed methodology and model prior to its finalisation. This
should involve further development based on peer review advice, continued engagement with
stakeholders, particularly local government, and an opportunity for a third-party review process such as
an Advisory Committee.
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